Email: Tennistrades@gmail.com Skype: @TennisRatings SUBSCRIBE TO THE TENNISRATINGS YOUTUBE CHANNEL FOR THE LATEST TENNIS TRADING & TENNIS BETTING VIDEOS! I decided to check this out, using my new Low Price Lead Loss & Recovery spreadsheets. This allows us to quantify whether this is indeed the case, as it enables assessment of the following deficit recovery percentages, since July 2014. 1) The percentage a player wins the first break of set 2 when they lost set 1. 2) The percentage a player recovers a set and break deficit. 3) The percentage a player recovers a break deficit in set 3. The table below illustrates the results for the French players in these spreadsheets, from 1/7/14 to 13/5/15:-
The data does indeed indicate that French players are worse for recovering losses than average - with four players in and around the top 20, and a number around top 50 level also, it's difficult to even say that this is because the players are of low quality. From 126 first set losses where there was a break in the second set, French players took the first break in the second set 43 times (34.13%), below the ATP mean of 36.71%. Indeed, Kenny De Schepper, Nicolas Mahut, Paul-Henri Mathieu and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga managed this feat just twice between them, from 18 occasions (11.1%). Benoit Paire (50%) produced the best figures.  From a set and break down, the figures were even worse. Just 18 of 84 set and break deficits were recovered (21.43%), over 7% below the Tour average of 28.62%. It is clear that French players do not generally thrive from these situations. Here, a particular mention must go to Messrs Benneteau, De Schepper, Mahut, Mannarino and Roger-Vasselin, who failed to recover a single set and break deficit between them, from 30 situations! However, French players were marginally better in the final set, with 1.88% more break deficits being recovered (11/29). Overall, French players were 3.81% down on set 2 comebacks (either first break in set 2 or set & break deficit), and 5.54% on break deficits in both set 2 and set 3, clearly showing that they lack the quality of the average ATP player to fight back in sets 2 and 3 of matches. Having said this, credit must go to Monfils, Paire, Simon and Tsonga, who did produce above-average overall figures, and Monfils and Paire in particular, who have excellent recovery stats.  This cannot be said for the likes of Benneteau, Chardy, De Schepper, Mahut (who didn't manage to recover a single deficit), Mannarino, Mathieu and Roger-Vasselin, who were well down on comeback figures. | A Selection of TennisRatings Products Please visit the TennisRatings Products links for a full overview of our fantastic Tennis Trading tools, and the TennisRatings Subscription Packages link to see our great value range of discounted subscription packages! Please check out our testimonials page! The TennisRatings Daily Trading Spreadsheets have never been more popular! To find out more on how these can dramatically improve your Tennis Trading, check out the YouTube Video we made. The Challenger Daily Spreadsheets cover all ATP Challenger Events and include projected hold percentages (for traders) and model prices (for bettors and traders). Subscriptions are available for 3 months:- The Lead Loss/Recovery Data Spreadsheets have taken the Tennis Trading World by storm - discussed in detail in October 2015 at the Matchbook Traders Conference these incredible spreadsheets highlight lead loss & deficit recovery in individual sets, as well as how often a player loses/gains the first break of the second set based on whether they won or lost the first set! INCLUDES FREE REGULAR UPDATES - THIS IS A ONE-TIME PURCHASE! |