WTA Break Back Percentages Based On Time Decay & Break Back Stats


For detailed analysis of this data, please refer to the article at this link.

Key:

 

Break After Game x of set = A player leads by a break immediately after that game of the set

Combined Score = The sum of the % the relevant player loses a break lead in a set added to the % their opponent recovers a break deficit in a set (all stats derived from the Ultimate In-Play Spreadsheet).

The figure in red for each game of the set is the overall break back percentage for that set.

 

WTAStats August 1st 2013 Average =49.06%
to 3rd NovemberSample Average =49.19
Break After Game 1 of setBreak After Game 2 of setBreak After Game 3 of setBreak After Game 4 of set
CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%
ScoreYesNoScoreYesNoScoreYesNoScoreYesNo
58.3347.5056.5551.18
<75050.00<7521115.38<7510100.00<751420.00
75-89.99443555.7075-89.99183037.5075-89.99181850.0075-89.99201164.52
90-104.99706352.6390-104.99414945.5690-104.99423256.7690-104.99253045.45
105-119.99502071.43105-119.99291467.44105-119.99291960.42105-119.99161453.33
120+11284.62120+5183.33120+5455.56120+3350.00
Break After Game 5 of setBreak After Game 6 of setBreak After Game 7 of setBreak After Game 8 of set
CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%
ScoreYesNoScoreYesNoScoreYesNoScoreYesNo
51.6938.1435.4438.10
<75020.00<75030.00<7500#DIV/0!<75010.00
75-89.99111345.8375-89.9981436.3675-89.9941028.5775-89.9961331.58
90-104.99352360.3490-104.99172639.5390-104.99152934.0990-104.99112035.48
105-119.99101638.46105-119.9991537.50105-119.996746.15105-119.997370.00
120+5362.50120+3260.00120+3537.50120+020.00
Break After Game 9 of setBreak After Game 11 of setOverall
CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%CombinedBack on Serve%
ScoreYesNoScoreYesNoScoreYesNo
40.9637.50
<75010.00<7510100.00<7552715.63
75-89.99101050.0075-89.9951131.2575-89.9914416546.60
90-104.99112728.9590-104.9991833.3390-104.9927631746.54
105-119.9910758.82105-119.996554.55105-119.9917212058.90
120+3442.86120+010.00120+382758.46
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