2013 World Tour Finals Tournament Preview

World Tour Finals Tournament Preview

The World Tour Finals this week brings the Tennis season to the close...

The final event of the ATP season is this week as the World Tour Finals, featuring the top eight players who have accumulated the most ranking points this season, starts at the O2 arena in London.

It's one of my favourite events on the tour with high quality tennis almost guaranteed, and prior to me moving to the north of England I used to try and get to the O2 to watch the action.

Last year there were 80.7% service holds which is very slightly higher than the 80.3% tour average for Indoor Hard so there's little to take into account there.

Going back through the historical results, in 2010 there were just 3 matches going the maximum 3 sets out of 15 (and just one group match out of 12).  In 2011 this figure was completely different, with 9 out of 15 going the duration whilst in 2012 this figure was 7/15.  So overall in the past three years 19 matches out of 45 went 3 sets and this percentage is high - 42.22% - which is one of the highest percentages on tour.  

On this basis competitive matches are likely and opposing the first set winner in select circumstances appears very viable.

It's interesting to see that in 2010 the percentage of matches ending in straight sets was very high and so was favourite success with 13/15 favourites winning, returning £413 from £1500 staked if you used £100 stakes with the best closing prices from oddsportal.com.

In 2011 the figure returned was a very slight profit of £12 (I disregarded the match between Nadal and Tsonga which was evens apiece) and in 2012 this was barely bigger at £14.

However it's interesting to note that there was not a negative year backing favourites and from the small 44 match sample a return of £439 was obtained (9.98% ROI).

I feel backing underdogs must be done in select circumstances this week.

One player I won't be likely to oppose is Novak Djokovic who despite potentially being more tired than his rivals after winning the Paris Masters has a truly incredible late season record, losing just one match in the last two years in matches after the US Open (September to November) and that defeat was a shock loss to Sam Querrey after bagelling the big serving American in the first set.

The Serb is a strong outright favourite with a current best price of 2.20.
Please visit the
TennisRatings Products links for a full overview of our fantastic Tennis Trading tools, and the TennisRatings Subscription Packages link to see our great value range of discounted subscription packages!

The acclaimed TennisRatings  Trading Handbook is fully updated for the 2014 season!  

For a free preview chapter simply Sign Up for TennisRatings Updates.

The TennisRatings Daily Trading Spreadsheets have never been more popular!  

To check out how these can revamp your Tennis Trading, check out the YouTube Video we made for the 'Tier 1' Spreadsheets.

There are now a two-tier subscription method for these with the 'Tier 2' Spreadsheets having Rolling Projected Hold Data and Break Back Percentages!

The Ultimate In-Play Spreadsheet has attracted great interest in the Tennis Trading community!  This incredible trading tool will transform your Tennis Trading and unearths statistics and trading angles you've never considered possible.  Due to the work required to get this powerful information, the data on this spreadsheet is available nowhere else online! 

For a free sample spreadsheet featuring 4 players, simply Sign Up for TennisRatings updates.

Feel free to check out our Video of how this product can help you in the Tennis Trading markets is available!


We take subscriber satisfaction very seriously - after all we are all traders and share common goals and objectives.

Here's a selection of what satisfied customers are saying:-

....tennis has recently become my most profitable sport...

'Just a quick note to express how happy I am with your products.

I have been trading full time since 2006 and was barely able to turn a profit on tennis before so I concentrated on other things.

Thanks to your help tennis has recently become my most profitable sport and I'm looking forward to a big 2014.

Your statistical approach has been a tonic and also given me ideas I can use when trading other sports.' (N.W)

....I made almost 500 Euros...
'Of Course I would like to resubscribe as they're [The TennisRatings Daily Spreadsheets] great and I have to say that although I use small stakes (10 Euros per liability point), I made almost 500 Euros this month' (D.T.)

...better than all the other material...
'Many thanks for sending the book [The TennisRatings Trading Handbook] so promptly.  I have read it once and I must congratulate you for the effort you have put into it.  It is certainly better than all the other material I have wasted my money on!' (M.C.)

...You have opened my eyes...
'I was betting on Tennis over ten years and made solid income.  The last two years I have been in the 'trade world'.  I made some strategies for trading tennis but when I bought your handbook I found there were some new angles and some new views for tennis trading.  You have opened my eyes in some areas and I must say the handbook is worth the money.  Your work on the website, on spreadsheets and co-operation with your members is excellent' (M.S.)

...Well worth the money...
'Hi Dan, Superb book [The TennisRatings Trading Handbook], thought provoking and very well presented.  Well worth the money in my opinion' (M.H.)

'An excellent piece of work, Dan' (N.B.)

...the most comprehensive guide to tennis trading that I've ever seen...
'Just a quick note to say thanks for all the hard work which goes into your site, spreadsheets and Tennis Trading Handbook.  They form the most comprehensive guide to tennis trading that I've ever seen.  The approach you use based on projected hold percentages and the trading strategies (detailed in the handbook) used to maximise the potential profit from trading give any trader, regardless of their experience in the markets a real and workable edge.  This is all expertly backed up by your very approachable presence on Twitter, always on hand to answer any questions that may crop up.

... thanks in the main to your hard work...
I look forward to taking my tennis trading onto the next level, thanks in the main to your hard work, so keep it up pal and good luck in the markets'
(@DarkDyson - Twitter)