ATP Break Back Percentages Based On Time Decay & Break Back Stats


For detailed analysis of this data, please refer to the article at this link...

Key:

Break After Game x of set = A player leads by a break immediately after that game of the set
Combined Score = The sum of the % the relevant player loses a break lead in a set added to the % their opponent recovers a break deficit in a set (all stats derived from the Ultimate In-Play Spreadsheet).
The figure in red for each game of the set is the overall break back percentage for that set.

ATP Stats July 1st  2013 Average =33.78%
to 15th October Sample Average = 32.69
Break After Game 1 of set Break After Game 2 of set Break After Game 3 of set Break After Game 4 of set
Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve %
Score Yes No Score Yes No Score Yes No Score Yes No
40.45 40.28 36.98 32.08
<50 11 34 24.44 <50 6 15 28.57 <50 7 23 23.33 <50 9 18 33.33
50-60 16 43 27.12 50-60 14 35 28.57 50-60 9 19 32.14 50-60 4 23 14.81
60-75 50 72 40.98 60-75 30 52 36.59 60-75 34 44 43.59 60-75 22 39 36.07
75-90 39 32 54.93 75-90 28 18 60.87 75-90 16 25 39.02 75-90 14 27 34.15
90+ 11 6 64.71 90+ 7 6 53.85 90+ 5 10 33.33 90+ 2 1 66.67
Break After Game 5 of set Break After Game 6 of set Break After Game 7 of set Break After Game 8 of set
Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve %
Score Yes No Score Yes No Score Yes No Score Yes No
32.26 31.37 28.71 10.75
<50 5 15 25.00 <50 3 15 16.67 <50 3 13 18.75 <50 2 11 15.38
50-60 6 22 21.43 50-60 4 7 36.36 50-60 5 13 27.78 50-60 18 0.00
60-75 14 26 35.00 60-75 15 26 36.59 60-75 12 27 30.77 60-75 3 29 9.38
75-90 13 15 46.43 75-90 9 20 31.03 75-90 7 15 31.82 75-90 5 22 18.52
90+ 2 6 25.00 90+ 1 2 33.33 90+ 2 4 33.33 90+ 3 0.00
Break After Game 9 of set Break After Game 11 of set Overall
Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve % Combined Back on Serve %
Score Yes No Score Yes No Score Yes No
14.13 26.15
<50 9 0.00 <50 1 9 10.00 <50 47 162 22.49
50-60 2 13 13.33 50-60 10 0.00 50-60 60 203 22.81
60-75 3 32 8.57 60-75 9 15 37.50 60-75 192 362 34.66
75-90 4 22 15.38 75-90 6 10 37.50 75-90 141 206 40.63
90+ 4 3 57.14 90+ 1 4 20.00 90+ 35 45 43.75
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