Article - Americans Abroad Part 5 - WTA Players In Europe



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Jamie Hampton has achieved excellent success in Europe...


In the fifth part of a 7-part series of articles, I look at how American players fare abroad.  This research project was given to me by a Twitter follower – so if you would like me to analyse/research something for you then please get in touch.  There will be a number of articles and resources added between now and the start of the season in January.

I’ve split this analysis into a number of categories – US male players in the top 150 playing non-US/Canadian main draw ATP events only (split into European and Asian/Australasian events), South American players with any rank playing European Challengers (this research area was specifically suggested) and US female players in the top 150 playing non-US/Canadian main draw WTA events (split into European and Asian/Australasian events).

In the previous articles, we’ve already seen that American players in the ATP have a generally terrible record abroad, both in Europe and Asia/Australasia, so now we move on to the WTA Tour to assess whether this also applies to women players…

For clarity, my policy on retirements here was void them if the first set wasn’t completed, and I’m using Pinnacle Sports starting prices for my analysis.

There are currently 16 US players in the WTA top 150 with Serena Williams – ranked 1 – unsurprisingly leading the pack.  Only her and Sloane Stephens are currently ranked inside the top 20 in the world, with Jamie Hampton, Madison Keys, Venus Williams and Bethanie Mattek-Sands also joining them in the top 50.

Here’s the data for each player’s European matches:-

(Stats correct upto & including 2nd December, 2013)

Serena Williams:

2012 – 29 matches, 27 wins – best win vs Petra Kvitova (SP 1.68), worst defeat vs Virginie Razzano (SP 1.01).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £390 (ROI 13.45%).

2013 – 27 matches, 26 wins – best win vs Maria Sharapova (SP 1.47), worst defeat vs Sabine Lisicki (SP 1.09).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £94 (ROI 3.48%)

2012/2013 Combined –56 matches, 53 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £484 (ROI 8.64%).

Sloane Stephens:

2012 – 15 matches, 9 wins – best win vs Maria Kirilenko (SP 3.70), worst defeat vs Sabine Lisicki (SP 2.58).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £592 (ROI 39.47%)

2013 – 22 matches, 15 wins – best win vs Flavia Pennetta (SP 2.60), worst defeat vs Stefanie Voegele (SP 1.29).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £301 (ROI 13.68%)

2012/2013 Combined – 37 matches, 24 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £893 (ROI 24.14%).

Jamie Hampton:

2012 – 3 matches, 1 win – best win vs Daniela Hantuchova (SP 5.80), worst defeat vs Aranxta Rus (SP 1.99).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £280 (ROI 93.33%)

2013 – 16 matches, 11 wins – best win vs Roberta Vinci (SP 3.90), worst defeat vs Madison Keys (fellow US Player – SP 1.58)

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £1229 (ROI 76.81%)

2012/2013 Combined – 19 matches, 12 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £1509 (ROI 79.42%)

Madison Keys:

2012 – no matches

2013 – 12 matches, 7 wins – best win vs Li Na (SP 13.00), worst defeat vs Monica Puig (SP 1.71)

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £1174 (ROI 97.83%)

2012/2013 Combined – 12 matches, 7 wins - Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £1174 (ROI 97.83%)

Venus Williams:

2012 – 17 matches, 12 wins – best win vs Sam Stosur (SP 2.48), worst defeat vs Elena Vesnina (SP 1.19).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £109 (ROI 6.41%).

2013 – 2 matches, 0 wins – best win N/A, worst defeat vs Urszula Radwanska (SP 1.57).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£200 (ROI -100.00%).

2012/2013 Combined – 19 matches, 12 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£91 (ROI -4.79%)

Bethanie Mattek-Sands:

2012 – 7 matches, 4 wins – best win vs Sabine Lisicki (SP 3.37), worst defeat vs Irina Begu (SP 1.74).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £340 (ROI 48.57%)

2013 – 10 matches, 6 wins – best win vs Na Li (SP 4.45), worst defeat vs Maria Kirilenko (SP 2.47).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £503 (ROI 50.30%)

2012/2013 Combined – 17 matches, 10 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £843 (ROI 49.59%).

Varvara Lepchenko:

2012 – 17 matches, 9 wins – best win vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (SP 4.02), worst defeat vs Urszula Radwanska (SP 1.36).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £509 (ROI 29.94%).

2013 – 14 matches, 6 wins – best win vs Roberta Vinci (SP 3.15), worst defeat vs Eva Birnerova (SP 1.22).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£415 (ROI -29.64%).

2012/2013 Combined – 31 matches, 15 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £94 (ROI 3.03%).

Alison Riske:

2012 – 1 match, 0 wins – best win N/A, worst defeat vs Timea Babos (SP 1.55).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£100 (ROI -100%).

2013 – 8 matches, 6 wins – best win vs Sabine Lisicki (SP 3.81), worst defeat vs Daniela Hantuchova (SP 2.34)

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £422 (ROI 52.75%)

2012/2013 Combined – 9 matches, 6 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £322 (ROI 35.78%).

Christina McHale: 

2012 – 17 matches, 8 wins – best win vs Caroline Wozniacki (SP 3.50), worst defeat vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (SP 1.51).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£362 (ROI -21.29%).

2013 – 11 matches, 4 wins – best win vs Pauline Parmentier (SP 2.41), worst defeat vs Lauren Davis (fellow US Player - SP 1.34).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£388 (ROI -35.27%).

2012/2013 Combined – 28 matches, 12 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£750 (ROI -26.79%).

Lauren Davis:

2012 – 3 matches, 1 win – best win vs Mona Barthel (SP 9.54), worst defeat vs Johanna Larsson (SP 2.20).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £654 (ROI 218%)

2013 – 7 matches, 2 wins – best win vs Christina McHale (SP 3.71), worst defeat vs Lucie Hradecka (SP 2.00).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£30 (ROI -4.29%)

2012/2013 Combined – 10 matches, 3 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £624 (ROI 62.40%).

Vania King:

2012 – 8 matches, 3 wins – best win vs Galina Voskoboeva (SP 2.28), worst defeat vs Nadia Petrova (SP 2.36).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£255 (ROI -31.88%).

2013 – 3 matches, 1 win – best win vs Alexandra Cadantu (SP 1.90), worst defeat vs Alize Cornet (SP 2.34).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£110 (ROI -36.67%)

2012/2013 Combined – 11 matches, 4 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£365 (ROI -33.18%).

Coco Vandeweghe:

2012 – 1 match, 0 wins – best win N/A, worst defeat vs Sara Errani (SP 3.56).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£100 (ROI -100%)

2013 – 4 matches, 0 wins – best win N/A, worst defeat vs Kristyna Pliskova (SP 1.51)

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£400 (ROI -100%)

2012/2013 Combined – 5 matches, 0 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£500 (ROI -100%)

Shelby Rogers:

2012 – no matches

2013 – 4 matches, 2 wins – best win vs Marta Domachowska (SP 1.46), worst defeat vs Chanelle Scheepers (SP 2.87).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£118 (ROI -29.50%)

Melanie Oudin:

2012 – 9 matches, 6 wins – best win vs Jelena Jankovic (SP 3.01), worst defeat vs Timea Babos (SP 1.35).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £685 (ROI 76.11%)

2013 – 7 matches, 2 wins – best win vs Maria Kirilenko (SP 4.12), worst defeat vs Michelle Larcher de Brito (SP 1.76).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£150 (ROI -21.43%)

2012/2013 Combined – 16 matches, 8 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £535 (ROI 33.48%).

Mallory Burdette:

2012 – 2 matches, 1 win – best win vs Ksenia Pervak (SP 1.98), worst defeat vs Kirsten Flipkens (SP 2.35)

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£2 (ROI -1.00%).

2013 – 5 matches, 1 win – best win vs Donna Vekic (SP 1.71), worst defeat vs Jie Zheng (SP 1.70)

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£429 (ROI -85.80%)

2012/2013 Combined – 7 matches, 2 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = -£431 (ROI -61.57%).

Irina Falconi:

2012 – 8 matches, 4 wins – best win vs Edina Gallovits-Hall (SP 3.22), worst defeat vs Melanie Oudin (SP 2.42).

Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £129 (ROI 32.25%)

2013 – no matches.

2012/2013 Combined – 8 matches, 4 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £129 (ROI 32.25%)

Overall Combined US Top 150 Stats:-

2012 – 137 matches, 85 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £2869 (ROI 20.94%)

2013 – 152 matches, 89 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £1483 (ROI 9.76%)

2012/2013 Combined – 289 matches, 174 wins – Profit/Loss to level £100 stakes = £4352 (15.06%)

Clearly we can see from the combined stats that the US women are the complete opposite to the US men.  The ATP players struggled badly in European matches but the WTA players thrived, with a superb combined ROI of 15.06% from 2012 and 2013 from a decent sample of 289 matches.

It appears that the top 50 current players have excellent records, with those six players (identified in the introduction to the article) having won 118 from 160 matches, generating profits of £4812 from level £100 stakes bets, with a stellar ROI of 30.08% from those 160 matches. 

The players outside the top 50 recorded a loss of £460 from 129 matches (-3.57% ROI) so the seems to be a huge disparity between the two ranking brackets. 

It’s definitely worth keeping an eye on the top 50 US WTA players with a view to keeping them onside in European events, with the possible exception of Venus Williams.  She only crossed the Atlantic twice in 2013, and lost both matches, and as her career winds down, it would be asking a lot to see this change.

As we’ve seen previously, this could not be said at all with the men on the ATP Tour (a blanket approach of laying them in all matches could be considered), so this difference is stark between the two tours – giving yet further evidence that the ATP & WTA tours need to be treated as two totally different entities.

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